Sunday, July 28, 2024

State of the Loons; Makar era ends

 Cale Makar is undoubtedly one of the five best players in the NHL and easily the best all around defenseman. So why then was Makar traded to the Norsemen last month? Some other GMs have openly suggested that Capeside is a organization with no direction, but even a madman has his reasons.


At only 25 years old Makar is a superstar in the NHL, but in the CCHL he is an above average defenseman. At the time of the trade Makar was not even the highest rated dman on the Loons, Noah Hanifin owned that distinction with a 79. That is hardly a reason to trade someone when Makar would easily surpass Hanifin within a year or two in the CCHL. Even though Makar does not get the respect he deserves by Simon, Capeside traded Makar for two reasons: his salary and his nationality. 

The trend within hockey is skyrocketing salaries amongst defensemen. If you are even a slightly above average dman you are being offered north of $9m per, ie Darnell Nurse. Makar at $9m is a bargain, however the Loons would have been paying Makar $9m, Werenski $9.5m and McAvoy $9.5m starting next season. Financially speaking the Loons are improving but are still in the bottom third of the CCHL. Capeside is only staying afloat by having a number of rising stars on their rookie deals. The Loons made the tough decision that one of these three have to go. Werenski - there would be no market after coming off of two injury plagued NHL seasons. If a team wanted to take on Werenski for his potential, his salary would be used against him and the return would be laughable. McAvoy - definitely would be a market but is also incredibly undervalued by Simon and the lowball offers would not be worth moving a player that is loved by our organization. So that leaves Makar. We know our reputation amongst other owners and that we likely would not get what Makar is worth but at worst he would bring back valuable assets. Our top priority in a deal would be a young, affordable defenseman with a lot of upside.

It is no secret that the Loons prioritize American born players and have a long term goal of an all American organization. For the record we are not some radical, pro American nationalist. In a few years I hope to be living elsewhere but it is more appealing to me to have players that I have watched grow up and develop. So that narrows down our search to a young, American defenseman with a lot of upside. A few CCHL teams had that but only the Norsemen had other pieces we wanted to go along with Faber. We reached out to Halifax and negotiated over a couple of days, when negotiations stalled Denver made an amazing offer but was draft pick based and their picks were going to suffer because Makar would make them even better then they already are. 

The final deal was Makar and Hagen Burrows for Brock Faber, Cole Eiserman, EJ Emery and a possible top 10 pick. 

Faber likely will never be the player that Makar is but we think it will be close. Eiserman could be Wahlstrom 2.0 but maybe his game evolves and he becomes an offensive force. Emery and a potential top ten pick are great assets that could turn into a player like say Cam York or Jimmy Snuggerud?

You may not agree with our reasons but deals like this is why I love the CCHL and have fun being a part of it, so maybe I am a madman  lol

Saturday, July 20, 2024

State of the Loons; 2024 Draft recap

 Not since the dark days of covid has the CCHL draft preceded the NHL, but due to scheduling conflicts here we are again. Back in 2020 the Loons were able to hit some homeruns on the "Wisborg rating scale." The Donuts wrote a blog seeing how close their drafting was to the NHL's, this is known as the Wisborg scale.


In 2020 the Loons had 31 draft picks compared to only 9 in 2024. After a couple draft day trades another 2 players were added that we will throw in. So lets take a look at this year's draft class.

1.3  Tij Iginla : CCHL (3)/ NHL (6)  gives us a Wisborg rating of +3  Tij's dad Jerome was one of my favorite players as a kid and Tij was someone we were pining over to have on the Loons. However, Ryan Leonard was someone we like even more and a trade was worked out with the Crawdads. We wish Tij well and maybe our paths might cross again one day.  (+3)

1.7  Cole Eiserman : CCHL (7)/ NHL: (20) -  +13 This was not a Loon's draft pick but everyone knew that he was coveted by us. A masshole that scores at a record pace. Cole began the year challenging for the top spot in the draft but scouts started raising concerns about Cole's all around game. We are counting that when you can shoot the way he can - that is all the program asked of Cole. He will head off to BU in the fall and we have faith that Eiserman will take his game to a new level. If not he will follow the Wahlstrom footsteps. Not our pick so not taking the hit on the Wisborg Scale.

1.10  Zeev Buium : CCHL (10)/ NHL (13) - WR +3  The Loons had pick 11 and of course Zeev went the pick before. Zeev caught our eye during the juniors tournament. He was dominant at both ends of the ice, and then during the frozen four he led Denver to a national championship as a freshman. Zeev's skating has been compared to Makar and has a high hockey IQ. Scouts have called him the most well rounded defensemen in the draft.  (+6)

1.11  Sam DIckinson : 11/11 - 0  After talking to the Nugget's GM, we were informed that Sam was their second choice and if we were to take Sam a deal could likely be made for Zeev. It all worked out in the end, Val D'or got a top pairing dman. (+6)

2.5  Teddy Stiga; 29/55  +26  No one in this draft had just astronomical development as Stiga. Prior to this year he was considered lucky to go in the 7th round, but all Teddy did was show is determined to be a star. Every scout we spoke with raved about his non stop motor, his high hockey IQ and has the ability to drive his line from the wing. The doubts about Teddy are due to his size at 5'10'' and 175. We are counting on this Masshole's compete level to overcome those missing couple of inches. (+32)

3.2  EJ Emery: 50/30  -20  We can't take credit for this pick since we brought EJ over in the Eiserman trade. EJ projects as a shutdown defender that is an excellent skater. Likely someone that will be paired with an offensive dman and plays big PK minutes.

4.11  Torry Pitner:  83/185  +102   We had a scout really sell us on Torry but NHL scouts obviously did not feel the same. Torry will head to Denver U to try and prove people wrong.  (+134)

5.5  Blake Montgomery: 101/117  +16  Blake went undrafted his first year eligible but saw his game take off as an over-ager. Blake is known for his skating combined with his 6'4'' frame makes him an intriguing prospect. Headed to Wisconsin next year. (+150)

6.5  Max Plante: 125/47  -78  Our biggest hit according to the Wisborg scale. Max is a second generation NHLer known for his playmaking abilities. He will head to Minnesota Deluth in the fall and if all goes right then Detroit in a few years down the road. (+72)

7.15  James Reeder  159/198  +39  Inconsistency is what we heard over and over from out scouts on Reeder. Some nights he looked like first round talent and other games he looked like he could be playing beer league on Friday nights with me. The talent outweighs the risk, especially at pick 159. Reeder will join Pitner and maybe Buium at Denver U were he can show he is a steal. (+111)

10.20   Thatcher Bernstein 236/ NA  We did not have any hope of Thatcher being drafted this year. Our best hope is that this Masshole heads to Harvard in the fall and one day cracks the NHL as a free agent signing. Worse case we get to watch him in the Beanpot for the next 4 years .

Four years ago we came out of that covid draft with an overall Wisborg rating of an amazing -765 while this year a +111. The elimination of international scouts really affected our score.

Loon top 10 prospects 

1.  Will Smith             C          Sharks
2.  Ryan Leonard     RW       Capitals
3.  Zeev Buium          D          Wild
4.  Cole Eiserman    LW      Islanders
5.  Drew Commesso  G      Blackhawks
6.  Alex Jefferies       LW      Islanders
7.  Brandon Bussi      G          Bruins
8. Teddy Stiga           LW     Predators
9.  EJ Emery               D       Rangers
10. Sean Farrell         C       Canadiens