Sunday, July 28, 2024

State of the Loons; Makar era ends

 Cale Makar is undoubtedly one of the five best players in the NHL and easily the best all around defenseman. So why then was Makar traded to the Norsemen last month? Some other GMs have openly suggested that Capeside is a organization with no direction, but even a madman has his reasons.


At only 25 years old Makar is a superstar in the NHL, but in the CCHL he is an above average defenseman. At the time of the trade Makar was not even the highest rated dman on the Loons, Noah Hanifin owned that distinction with a 79. That is hardly a reason to trade someone when Makar would easily surpass Hanifin within a year or two in the CCHL. Even though Makar does not get the respect he deserves by Simon, Capeside traded Makar for two reasons: his salary and his nationality. 

The trend within hockey is skyrocketing salaries amongst defensemen. If you are even a slightly above average dman you are being offered north of $9m per, ie Darnell Nurse. Makar at $9m is a bargain, however the Loons would have been paying Makar $9m, Werenski $9.5m and McAvoy $9.5m starting next season. Financially speaking the Loons are improving but are still in the bottom third of the CCHL. Capeside is only staying afloat by having a number of rising stars on their rookie deals. The Loons made the tough decision that one of these three have to go. Werenski - there would be no market after coming off of two injury plagued NHL seasons. If a team wanted to take on Werenski for his potential, his salary would be used against him and the return would be laughable. McAvoy - definitely would be a market but is also incredibly undervalued by Simon and the lowball offers would not be worth moving a player that is loved by our organization. So that leaves Makar. We know our reputation amongst other owners and that we likely would not get what Makar is worth but at worst he would bring back valuable assets. Our top priority in a deal would be a young, affordable defenseman with a lot of upside.

It is no secret that the Loons prioritize American born players and have a long term goal of an all American organization. For the record we are not some radical, pro American nationalist. In a few years I hope to be living elsewhere but it is more appealing to me to have players that I have watched grow up and develop. So that narrows down our search to a young, American defenseman with a lot of upside. A few CCHL teams had that but only the Norsemen had other pieces we wanted to go along with Faber. We reached out to Halifax and negotiated over a couple of days, when negotiations stalled Denver made an amazing offer but was draft pick based and their picks were going to suffer because Makar would make them even better then they already are. 

The final deal was Makar and Hagen Burrows for Brock Faber, Cole Eiserman, EJ Emery and a possible top 10 pick. 

Faber likely will never be the player that Makar is but we think it will be close. Eiserman could be Wahlstrom 2.0 but maybe his game evolves and he becomes an offensive force. Emery and a potential top ten pick are great assets that could turn into a player like say Cam York or Jimmy Snuggerud?

You may not agree with our reasons but deals like this is why I love the CCHL and have fun being a part of it, so maybe I am a madman  lol

Saturday, July 20, 2024

State of the Loons; 2024 Draft recap

 Not since the dark days of covid has the CCHL draft preceded the NHL, but due to scheduling conflicts here we are again. Back in 2020 the Loons were able to hit some homeruns on the "Wisborg rating scale." The Donuts wrote a blog seeing how close their drafting was to the NHL's, this is known as the Wisborg scale.


In 2020 the Loons had 31 draft picks compared to only 9 in 2024. After a couple draft day trades another 2 players were added that we will throw in. So lets take a look at this year's draft class.

1.3  Tij Iginla : CCHL (3)/ NHL (6)  gives us a Wisborg rating of +3  Tij's dad Jerome was one of my favorite players as a kid and Tij was someone we were pining over to have on the Loons. However, Ryan Leonard was someone we like even more and a trade was worked out with the Crawdads. We wish Tij well and maybe our paths might cross again one day.  (+3)

1.7  Cole Eiserman : CCHL (7)/ NHL: (20) -  +13 This was not a Loon's draft pick but everyone knew that he was coveted by us. A masshole that scores at a record pace. Cole began the year challenging for the top spot in the draft but scouts started raising concerns about Cole's all around game. We are counting that when you can shoot the way he can - that is all the program asked of Cole. He will head off to BU in the fall and we have faith that Eiserman will take his game to a new level. If not he will follow the Wahlstrom footsteps. Not our pick so not taking the hit on the Wisborg Scale.

1.10  Zeev Buium : CCHL (10)/ NHL (13) - WR +3  The Loons had pick 11 and of course Zeev went the pick before. Zeev caught our eye during the juniors tournament. He was dominant at both ends of the ice, and then during the frozen four he led Denver to a national championship as a freshman. Zeev's skating has been compared to Makar and has a high hockey IQ. Scouts have called him the most well rounded defensemen in the draft.  (+6)

1.11  Sam DIckinson : 11/11 - 0  After talking to the Nugget's GM, we were informed that Sam was their second choice and if we were to take Sam a deal could likely be made for Zeev. It all worked out in the end, Val D'or got a top pairing dman. (+6)

2.5  Teddy Stiga; 29/55  +26  No one in this draft had just astronomical development as Stiga. Prior to this year he was considered lucky to go in the 7th round, but all Teddy did was show is determined to be a star. Every scout we spoke with raved about his non stop motor, his high hockey IQ and has the ability to drive his line from the wing. The doubts about Teddy are due to his size at 5'10'' and 175. We are counting on this Masshole's compete level to overcome those missing couple of inches. (+32)

3.2  EJ Emery: 50/30  -20  We can't take credit for this pick since we brought EJ over in the Eiserman trade. EJ projects as a shutdown defender that is an excellent skater. Likely someone that will be paired with an offensive dman and plays big PK minutes.

4.11  Torry Pitner:  83/185  +102   We had a scout really sell us on Torry but NHL scouts obviously did not feel the same. Torry will head to Denver U to try and prove people wrong.  (+134)

5.5  Blake Montgomery: 101/117  +16  Blake went undrafted his first year eligible but saw his game take off as an over-ager. Blake is known for his skating combined with his 6'4'' frame makes him an intriguing prospect. Headed to Wisconsin next year. (+150)

6.5  Max Plante: 125/47  -78  Our biggest hit according to the Wisborg scale. Max is a second generation NHLer known for his playmaking abilities. He will head to Minnesota Deluth in the fall and if all goes right then Detroit in a few years down the road. (+72)

7.15  James Reeder  159/198  +39  Inconsistency is what we heard over and over from out scouts on Reeder. Some nights he looked like first round talent and other games he looked like he could be playing beer league on Friday nights with me. The talent outweighs the risk, especially at pick 159. Reeder will join Pitner and maybe Buium at Denver U were he can show he is a steal. (+111)

10.20   Thatcher Bernstein 236/ NA  We did not have any hope of Thatcher being drafted this year. Our best hope is that this Masshole heads to Harvard in the fall and one day cracks the NHL as a free agent signing. Worse case we get to watch him in the Beanpot for the next 4 years .

Four years ago we came out of that covid draft with an overall Wisborg rating of an amazing -765 while this year a +111. The elimination of international scouts really affected our score.

Loon top 10 prospects 

1.  Will Smith             C          Sharks
2.  Ryan Leonard     RW       Capitals
3.  Zeev Buium          D          Wild
4.  Cole Eiserman    LW      Islanders
5.  Drew Commesso  G      Blackhawks
6.  Alex Jefferies       LW      Islanders
7.  Brandon Bussi      G          Bruins
8. Teddy Stiga           LW     Predators
9.  EJ Emery               D       Rangers
10. Sean Farrell         C       Canadiens

Saturday, June 22, 2024

Iceland drafts "blindly" for CCHL 2024 draft

 Well sports fans, the CCHL entry draft is done and what a wild ride it was. With the CCHL draft being held a few weeks before the NHL draft, teams did not have the luxury of seeing who was drafted in the NHL. This certainly creates a lot of uncertainty but also some excitement. Once the NHL draft is held, we could see some of the players drafted early in our CCHL draft end up being later round picks in the NHL, or vice versa, we could see some late round CCHL picks turn out to be early NHL draft gems! Of course, there is also the possibility that a player drafted in the CCHL will not be drafted in the NHL, which is a bummer, but we have seen this before.


With that background, Iceland set out to create their own draft list, scouring many draft sites and doing their own homework to come up with our draft list. As the draft unfolded, the expected early round picks went off the board, like Macklin Celebrini, Ivan Demidov, Tij Iginla, etc. As Iceland stepped up to the podium with the 12th pick, a pick they acquired in the dispersal draft, the best player available was dynamic offensive dman, Zayne Parekh. While Iceland did not have a strong need at D, Parekh was too good to pass up.

With subsequent picks, Iceland acquired some additional high-end dmen in Leo Sahlin Wallenius (from the land of the Wisborg Donuts) and Aron Kiviharju. Kiviharju was a bigger "swing for the fences" type of pick but if he continues to develop, could be a dynamic offensive dman in the NHL.

Iceland also acquired some talent and size up front, with Nikita Artamonov, Maxim Masse, Christian Humphreys, Jack Berglund and Topias Hynninen. Artamonov is particularly exciting with his skill. Humphreys came from the US National Development team and could be another "swing for the fences" type of pick. He is talended but a bit on the smaller side. Given the trend in the NHL to have exciting, smaller players, his size should not be a limiting factor.

Iceland also added to their goalie depth, drafting Eemil Vinni, the #1 ranked international goalie, from Finland, and Victor Ostman, also from the land of the Donuts.

The two most celebrated picks of the day were Ryder Korczak, who is a Rangers prospect, and Daniil Ustinkov, who is a nominee for the best name in the draft. He's no Ivan Ivan, but still pretty darn good!

With the depth of draft picks, Iceland also made a few trades, trading Justin Poirier to Amos for Simon Zether and Harrison Brunicke. Then, Iceland made a trade with Fort Erie, sending their last 3 picks for Fort Erie's 4th round pick in 2026.

All in all, Iceland drafted/acquired 5 dmen, 7 forwards and 2 goalies. That is a successful draft that should help keep the prospect pipeline in Iceland filled with shiny, new prospects!

Millers 2024 Entry Draft Review

 The Millers replenished their prospect pool not in quantity, but by what they hope is quality after making 4 picks in the draft. Georgetown dealt a total of 6 picks to Fort Erie in 2 separate deals, with 2 going to move up to draft Chernyshov and 4 late picks dealt for a 2026 5th rounder. 




4th Overall - Berkly Catton, C. 

Long on the Millers radar, the Spokane pivot should provide the club with a long-sought dynamic offensive force. On skill alone Catton is probably the 3rd best Forward in this draft but his 5’10 height has him pegged in most mocks as falling outside the top 10. Georgetown decided to roll the dice regardless, hoping the speedy, shifty and intelligent scorer can translate his skill to at least a 2nd line C role or possibly as a top line Winger. Catton’s speed is also an asset on the penalty kill. Catton is likely 2 to 3 seasons away from featuring in the Millers lineup. 


27th Overall - Igor Chernysov, W

The Millers traded picks 40 and 64 to Fort Erie to move up and acquire the Russian winger, having had him at 16 on their internal draft board. Chernysov is a solidly built 6’2 winger with above average skating ability and a direct north-south style. He saw some time in the KHL in a bottom line role and put up 3 goals while scoring over a point per game in the MHL. Chernyshov should see a bigger KHL role as a teen-ager in the upcoming season and his pro frame and playing style should help him make a quick transition to the North American game in 2 to 3 seasons. 


72nd Overall- Carson Wetsch, W

With their next pick the Milers went back to the Western Hockey League and chose Calgary winger Carson Wetsch. The British Columbia native is already carrying 200 lbs on a 6’1 frame and profiles as middle 6 power-forward as a pro. Wetsch is likely to be a complimentary piece on a scoring line, doing the dirty work on the forecheck and in the corners and getting to the net to put in pucks. His skates very well for his size and has a plus wrister. At worst he’s a solid bottom 6 wing but hopes are he can support the 2nd and 3rd lines in his prime. 


107th Overall - Maxim Tsyplakov, W

With their last pick the Millers decided to pick what they hope is immediate help in the 25 year-old Russian winger who is moving to the NHL after signing as a free agent. Tsyplakov exploded for 31 goals in his last KHL season, three times his previous career high. At 6’2 and 190 lbs his physical play is just as impressive as his shooting prowess. Assuming a smooth transition to the NHL, he should be a solid bottom 6 winger for a few years. 

Saturday, June 1, 2024

Millers Musings - Memorial Day edition

 One more trade and a look at the roster’s top 23 and under players. 



Goodrow goes to Fort Erie

After dangling him all off-season the Millers finally moved out veteran F Barclay Goodrow, sending him and $1.8 million in cash (half his salary) to Fort Erie for 2 prospects: D Gavin White and G Maxim Mayorov. 


 White just completed his first AHL season, and the former OHL Defender held his own, scoring 11 points in 49 games. Known as an offensive-minded blue liner in his OHL days, the hope is he can increase his scoring in his 2nd AHL season and possibly show enough to become a 3rd pair or depth option for the Stars in the next couple of years. 

 Mayorov is a 6’6  20 year-old goalie in Russia who has spent his last couple of years putting up monster numbers in the MHL, the Russian equivalent of the CHL. He’ll either spend the 24-25 season in the MHL for the last time or move up to the VHL. He’s a good 2 seasons away from possibly having a KHL role, so he’s a wildcard but the size, bloodlines (his father was a long-time KHL goalie) and performance make him an interesting lottery ticket. 


23 and Under Players

With the CCHL draft a little over 3 weeks away, it’s a good time to look at the youth pipeline in Georgetown and see where the strengths and weaknesses lie and how that might effect the Millers picks in the draft. Many analysts use a players age 23 season as a dividing line between potential and plateauing. Below are the U23 players eligible to play for the team this season, based on their disk age. 


Dylan Guenther (20), LW/RW. Guenther is seen as a future top 6 mainstay on the wings, and is projected to have a top 9 role and lots of PP ice time this coming season. He should be a 30 to 40 goal scoring winger with an all-around game in his prime. 


David Jiricek (20), D. Jiricek is projected by the Millers to be a top 4 D-Man and PP threat at minimum. His defensive zone reads need work, and he’s probably no higher than 10th on the blue line depth chart entering the season, but it’s hoped he can work his way to at least semi-regular duty by the 25-26 season. 


Matt Rempe (21), C. Throughout franchise history the Millers have rarely ever utilized a traditional fighter. Chris Neil played one year towards the end of his career but didn’t see much ice time. Rempe could change that, although he is more likely to be used as a depth option then an everyday player., drawing in when up against more physical teams. 


Mikael Pyythia (21), C. The Finn had a decent 1st AHL season and saw action for 17 games for a depleted Columbus roster. He’s likely a depth forward in the NHL since he lacks any one outstanding skill. He’s highly unlikely to see any time in the Millers lineup this season and would be a depth option even if he cements a bottom 6 NHL role. 


Ridley Greig (21), C. Picked up in the dispersal draft, the Millers are excited to have him on the club, although he currently profiles as the team’s 13th forward heading into the season. Greig’s got a high motor and enough skill to carve out a long career as a middle 6 forward and special teams contributor.


Jayden Struble (22), D. Struble had a good NHL debut, playing bottom 4 minutes in Montreal a year after coming out of college. He’s above Jiricek on the current depth chart but long-term is a bottom pair defenseman for the Millers.


Marco Rossi (22), C. The crown jewel of the Millers offseason acquisitions, Rossi is a future 2nd line C , and potentially a top line C with further development. Although not reflected in his ratings Rossi is considered to have strong defensive chops as well as offensive ability and should grow into a well-rounded top 6 player for the Millers within a couple of years. He’ll start 24-25 as the 3rd line Center. 


Jesperi Kotkaniemi (23), C. A former first round pick of the Millers. Kotkaniemi returns to the club with a lot less hype than he had on his draft day. Coming off a terrible NHL season, he’s at best the club’s 14th forward on the depth chart. Management is hoping for a comeback season that will at least put him into a bottom 6 role for the 25-26 season. 


Lukas Dostal (23), G. Slated to backup Skinner in net, there is hope that as Dostal gains more experience and his NHL club matures around him he could become the starter in a couple of years. The team’s best G prospect is Michael Hrabel and he’s a good 5 years from an NHL job, so Dostal is the present and near future in-system challenger to Skinner. 


Sunday, May 19, 2024

Millers 23-24 Offseason Review

 Since bowing out in the first round of the playoffs, the Millers have made several roster moves

in the past few months. Looking to get younger, but still remain competitive, the team has seen

a combination of youth and experience join the club so far this offseason.

Players Out:

Claude Giroux (trade), Frank Nazar (trade), Jake Bean (trade), Reilly Smith (trade), Scott

Laughton (trade), Nathan Bastian (RFA Release), Oliver Ekman-Larsson (UFA), Brett Kulak (UFA)

Players In:

Marco Rossi (trade), Jayden Struble (trade), Vitek Vanecek (trade), Jesperi Kotkaniemi (trade),

Christian Fischer (trade), Trevor Moore (Dispersal Draft), Ridley Greig (Dispersal Draft), Brian

McCabe (Dispersal Draft)

Georgetown did not sign any UFAs.

Below is a breakdown and the reasoning behind each acquisition:

Claude Giroux and prospect Frank Nazar to Amos for Marco Rossi, Jayden Struble and

prospect Quinn Finley.

The Millers had targeted a young, future top 6 Center as their main goal of the offseason and

acquired the 22 year-old Rossi from Amos when trading resumed. Giroux was well loved and

respected in Georgetown but the emergence of Dylan Guenther meant a top 6 spot on the

wing had to open, and with Giroux getting up there in years it made sense to move him for

Rossi. Georgetown was also high on Nazar, but his NHL future seemingly lies on the wing and

the club felt Rossi offered more current and latter-day value. The trade also brought in 22 year

old Struble, who looks like a solid 3rd pair, D and collegian Quinn Finley, who’s played for the


US at the U20 WJC and projects as a possible speedy middle 6 winger at the pro level. Long-

term Rossi may not put up the points that Nazar does, but Rossi is considered to be a solid


defensive Center for a young player and a possible Selke nominee down the line who can

contribute 60-70 points a season. In other words, an extremely solid 2nd line Center. He’s

slated to start on the 3rd line this upcoming season.

Jake Bean to Baltimore for prospect Alexander Pashin

Bean ably served as a depth Dman the past couple of seasons, but the acquisition of Brian

McCabe in the dispersal draft moved him down to 9th on the depth chart. Rookies Struble and

David Jiricek, although minors-bound, are also available if needed so Bean was a $2,000,000

luxury. Once lauded as an offensive Dman, his point totals have disappointed but his defensive

play has been solid. Bean could find regular ice time in Maryland, so the Millers were happy to

move him in exchange for former Carolina prospect Pashin. Pashin’s entry-level contract was

voided last year as he left the AHL to play in Russia, where the dimunitive winger put up decent

numbers in his first full KHL year. He’s a lottery ticket, but if Pashin continues to improve and

produce in the KHL, a return to North America isn’t out of the question.

GEO 10-24 and Reilly Smith to Chippewa for Jesperi Kotkaniemi and Vitek Vanecek.

This deal serves 2 purposes: 1) Moving out Reilly Smith as the expensive vet was looking at a

4th line or reserve role, and 2) Taking flyers on Kotkaniemi and Vanecek to improve for the next

disk after poor 23-24 NHL seasons. The Kotkaniemi return is particularly risky, as he’s making


$4.6 million over the next 3 years, and will very clearly be the 5th or 6th Center on the depth

chart and could conceivably see no ice time in the 24-25 Miller’s season. If he can return to his

form of the 22-23 NHL season he’ll make a decent bottom 6 Center still with some potential to

meet his top 6 ceiling. Vanecek is no improvement over Jake Allen as the #3 Goalie, but a

comeback in the 24-25 NHL season more in line with his 22-23 showing could see the pending

RFA resigned as a fairly cheap 3rd Goalie, or possibly dealt if he shows enough to be a good

#2 option again.

Scott Laughton to Fergus for Christian Fischer and prospects Ryan Ufko and Vincenz

Rohrer

Laughton was acquired at mid-season last year and was a revelation, finding instant chemistry

with Claude Giroux on the top line and scoring a point per game and adding some needed grit

to the lineup. With his ratings going down following a tepid NHL season that included a

substantial cut in his ice-time, Laughton was pencilled in as the LW on the 3rd line with Copp

and Guenther. The acquisition of Rossi and the desire to pair him with a strong defensive

forward who can help with face-offs and with another good offensive player made Laughton

expendable. This move set-ups a potential third line of Rossi centering Copp and Guenther.

Fischer is a 4th line energy player who’s merely depth on the wings. The prospects are not

definite NHL’ers but have desirable skills and traits that could see them fit in at the bottom of a

lineup. Rohrer joins fellow Austrians Rossi and prospect Marco Kaspar in the system. Rohrer is

not as skilled as Rossi nor a 200 foot player like Kaspar, but he is a smart, creative Center

who’s likely to move to the wing due to his size if he makes the NHL. Ufko is a former WJC star

as an offensive defenseman who also had a solid NCAA career at UMass. He turned pro after

his college season ended and held his own in the AHL. On the small side at 5’10 and 180 lbs,

Ufko is likely a 3rd pair D and 2nd PP QB at the NHL level.

Dispersal Draft - Moore, Greig, McCabe

With their first pick in the dispersal draft of Sudbury and New England players, the Millers

chose winger Trevor Moore. Coming off a 30 goal NHL season, the heady winger is slated to

play to the right of Dylan Larkin on the top line. An all-around player with great speed, Moore

will also see time on the PK in addition to PP duties.

The 2nd pick was C/LW Ridley Greig, a 21-year old coming off his first full NHL season. A late

1st round pick in 2020, Greig plays a fast, hard-nosed brand of hockey that belies his size. He

also has very good skill, and should be a middle 6 mainstay for years to come. Given the

Millers current forward depth Greig probably won’t see a lot of game time this coming season

unless injuries strike a few forwards, but in a couple of years he’ll be a regular, likely on the

wing.

(Prospect Josh Filmon was the Millers 3rd pick. He’s an average-sized winger out of the WHL,

lauded for his compete and hockey IQ. A solid scorer, he’s also viewed as a potential middle 6

winger.)

Georgetown’s final pick was D Brian McCabe. The veteran comes off perhaps his best NHL

season, and is likely to pair with Shea Theodore on the top defensive pairing, as well as being

on one of the PK units. A shut-down D who can skate and move the puck, he should thrive

alongside the offensive-minded Theodore.

Iceland navigates the dispersal draft

 The league announced the disbanding of 2 teams. One team was expected, the New England franchise. The other was a complete shock, the Sudbury franchise. Shock is probably an understatement given how well previous GM Terry James had built his team. That meant that there was a ton of talent available for the remaining teams to choose from. At the top of the available list were 2 franchise centers: Auston Matthews and Sebastian Aho. There were also some very talented youngsters in Wyatt Johnston and Seth Jarvis. And if that wasn’t enough, there were top line wingers / centers in JT Miller, Zach Hyman and Brayden Point. It was clear that the Icecats would not be able to draft one of those top talents, so we looked at what was available at our #19 spot. With our lineup pretty set, we went about looking at futures. With our first pick, we took PAR 1st-24, which could yield a high end talent in the upcoming draft. It also makes our own 1st available to trade to improve our team.


With the snake order of the draft, we picked again at 26. While we hoped to draft Gavin Brindley, with him off the boards, we took his potential future teammate, Luca del bel Bulluz. Bulluz had a strong first year in the AHL and scored in his NHL debut. His talent is intriguing.

When the 3rd round pick came up, most of the better talent was gone and so were the better draft picks. As such, we took a chance on another prospect with talent, defenseman Artyom (Artem) Duda. Duda was an early 2nd rounder for the Coyotes. He has plenty of time to develop as the Icecats are in no rush to get another dman into the CCHL. It’s a good gamble.

With our fourth and final pick, we took a chance on another player who had a good first year in the AHL, Viktor Neuchev. Neuchev seems to be trending upwards from the MHL to the KHL and now the AHL. We expect bigger things from Neuchev this coming AHL season.

All in all, it was a good dispersal draft given where we were drafting. While we did not acquire a player to help immediately, we acquired future talent to continue to build our prospect pipeline. Time will tell if the picks were wise or not but for now, Icecats management is pleased. Stay tuned for more, sports fans!