Sunday, February 19, 2023

4 facts you didn't know about Donuts

 It is starting to come to the end of season and a good spot to check the numbers coming into the playoffs. If you are in the hunt, the information might even be useful for you. All stats are from statpage in Simon and at current day no 138 (after game 72 for the Donuts).


Faceoffs in defensive zone, 56%
You might already know the Donuts are tops in FO% for the league, as seen in the leader board. But did you know we absolutely kills you in our defensive zone with a 56% won! That is about 2,5% better than no 2. So not much use you start your attack from there... Strangely it doesn't carry over in the other zones, we are 4th in offensive zone and second behind Portland who absolutely kills it in Neutral zone, about 2% better than us. I guess it is a good thing there is no goal in the neutral zone then.

Passing in defensive zone, 32%
So you do have FO against Donuts in their end, what do you do? One thing you can do is take advantage of horrible passing in their own end from the Donuts. By combining passes and completed passes in each zone we should get a success rate for passing in each zone, 32%/50%/69% that is a significant difference in passing success between the different zones. Why is this? No idea, looks like a Simon thing. All teams are similar in numbers and it is interesting to see that all teams are fairly equal in passing attempts in offensive and defensive zone but the success rate is about the double in the offensive zone. Can't really see the logic working there, maybe the forwards are better passers than the defense men or something?

First period snipers, SH 12,5%
When meeting the ´nuts your team better have a good night sleepThe Donuts score most of their goals in the first period. It is as expected fairly close 100/89/95 between the periods. What makes it kind of interesting however is that they shot the fewest shots in first period, 803/944/841. So it is the opposite of the goals scored so SH% would spell 12,5%/9,5%/11,3%. Now you can't really compare with OT but as expected the numbers are higher there, but also small numbers, 12 goals in 60 shots make a 20% SH in OT. You should note that Iceland Icecats will shoot you to death in OT while Seattle Reign likes to go home early and wont go to OT at all if they can help it.

Losing at home, 2 times
Is there a home advantage in fantasy sports, well apparently so. The Donuts are league best in fewest looses during regulation time with 2 at home. The top 4 teams in CCHL are all in the top 4 here as well. So I guess coming in as no 1 seed could have an advantage with game 7 on home ice.

Your strategy
So the numbers are clear don't go to Wisborg and expect to win, be ready when the game starts, if you have a faceoff in offensive zone get ready to break the outlet pass instead of the faceoff. If you wanna requst some rule changes you can skip road games and skip first period to be successful against the sweet Donuts.

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